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8月15日

Daily Forex Fundamentals 07-25-06

Euro

 

These days we face a new reality in the Forex market, where the Euro is weaker as traders look ahead to the potential drop in tomorrow’s German IFO report. Both the weaker German ZEW and Belgian manufacturing surveys suggest that business confidence could have also deteriorated in the month of July.

 

Although analysts’ sentiments and business’ sentiments have had a weak correlation over the past few months, the Belgian survey tends to be a reliable leading indicator for the IFO. The drop could be limited however since the World Cup did not end until July 9th, which may have effectively prolonged the World Cup’s effect on the economy. If you recall, it was also the World Cup that sent business sentiment to a 15 year high last month. Of course, these alarm bells have been ringing for some time and to date there have been limited evidence that a sharp housing driven contraction is underway. Yet it is difficult to find arguments to support a further Euro weakening aside from high US Dollar yield in the Forex market.

 

Meanwhile despite the Euro’s retracement, economic data released today was mixed. French business confidence increased from 107 to 109 in the month of July while preliminary German consumer prices increased 0.4 percent this month. However Italian business confidence dropped from a downwardly revised 98.3 to 96.7. The Eurozone current account balance also deteriorated from a surplus of 0.9 billion to a deficit of 8.2 billion. Over in Switzerland, economic data continues to outperform its neighbors. The UBS consumption indicator jumped to a 5 year high of 2.111, which is indicative of strong consumer spending in the second quarter Forex.

7月23日

Forex Trading Systems

FOREX trading systems are big business now as the internet allows anyone to use one and make big profits.

 

The question traders need answered is - what do they look for when they buy a trading system to locate the good systems from the losing majority.

 

Right, let’s get started and look at getting trading systems with the potential to make huge gains.

 

Many traders choose to buy a FOREX trading system ready made and ready to go. Just plug it in and huge profits come quickly. Well that’s the theory, the reality is different. There are good trading systems out there but you need to pick wisely, here are some tips.

 

Don’t buy a system that promises 80% accuracy and has little or no drawdown.

We all know this is not true, as we all know drawdown is part of trading a system. These systems always come with hypothetical track records and of course, we can all trade with low drawdown when we know what happened in the past.

 

Look for a system where the rules are revealed

You need to understand the logic before trading.

This is essential as if you don’t understand the logic you won’t have the confidence to trade it with discipline. Avoid black box systems only trade a FOREX system you understand.

 

Look for simple trading systems.

They should only contain a few rules or parameters.

It’s a fact that simple systems work best and not ones that are complicated. All the worlds top trading systems are simple!

 

Look for trading systems that trade ALL markets with the same rules.

One of the biggest errors traders make is falling for systems that have “unique” rules to trade different markets.

What this basically means is that the vendor cannot get the system to work on the market, so its “curve fitted” i.e. the rules fit the data in hindsight.

Never consider a system that does this!

 

Look for long term trading system

There is a huge market selling short term and day trading systems, but fact is they don’t work as well as long term trend following FOREX trading systems.

 

7月20日

Forex and the importance of Euro

The transition to the Euro (both in the Forex field and in daily use) helped to make it worth more and become a more accepted form of currency. Another benefit of many countries using the Euro is that it eliminates the need for conversion fees. When a person or business has the need to exchange currency, there is a fee involved. Most financial institutions charge some sort of percentage for conversion and while it is a relative small amount, it adds up. Multiple changes add up all across Europe. Eliminating these fees saves the economy in the long run.

When looking at the Forex market and the way the Euro acts, it is also important to remember that using one form of currency creates a deeper financial market. This means that the European markets are much more liquid than in the past. There is more competition with the Euro not that it is more widely accepted and used. The idea that it will created a deeper financial market means it will affect they way the consumers spend the currency all across the continent. This will in turn, lead to increased amounts of money that is spent on the stock market.

Now that the Euro has become one of the major currencies in the world, the trading volume of this currency will only increase in the Forex market. The market is usually dominated by the US dollar, but the Euro is making a strong stand. The use of this currency all over the European countries is appealing in many ways and it is widely accepted all over the world. Both businesses and individuals benefit from the use of the Euro in these countries without the worry of having the exchange the money as much as in the past.

7月16日

Forex - a good alternative

I found out pretty recently, that a lot of people are getting more and more interested in Forex trading. In an economic atmosphere where investors look to the stock market and real estate for investment outlets, foreign exchange solutions offer a competitive alternative.

 

The Forex market is the largest financial market in the world, with over 1.5 trillion dollars changing hands daily and soon expected to go over the $2 trillion. This market alone is more than three times the total amount of the US Equity and Treasury markets combined.

 

A famous investor and market analyst for nearly a decade says that Investors participating in the stock market anticipate an increase in a stock’s value to profit, whereas investors in the currency market can profit in both bullish and bearish conditions.

 

Since the New York Stock Exchange has over 20,000 companies, investors have to essentially throw a dart and hope it lands on a lucrative company. Companies are able to individually tailor the clients’ portfolio because the currency market operates with only four major currencies and 17 potential currency pairs, and with that narrowing the market and allowing for a more detailed analysis of each currency.

Through studying and learning of the market (with both online and regular courses), potential traders and clients alike will have the opportunity to explore, in depth, the fundamentals of the market, by learning how to read and analyze market data through technical and fundamental analysis and frequently being advised on current market trends. Forex Solutions has furthered accessibility to the foreign currency market, by making their education series complimentary and open to all.

7月12日

Forex news sites

First this I think you should do, one you start to step in the forex path towards richness and wealthy living, is to sign-up to a good news site that has good knowledge of the market. A good site can be helpful to both fundamental traders and technical traders, since it offers them both information and advice.

These are 2 examples I took from a forex news site, one of the best, today:

1. Dollar Edges up on North Korea, Cenbank Standoff

“4:30 am UK May Merchandise Trade Balance (exp GBP – 5.7 bln, prev GBP - 5.8 bln) 9:00 am Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (exp 4.25%, prev 4.25%)

Dollar edges higher as the standoff surrounding North Korea’s missiles pushes into in China’s camp. Beijing has assumes the lead in directing talks with the North Korean government this week to head towards multiparty talks. All eyes will be on weather the Chinese backed initiative will succeed, i.e. imposing restrictions on North Korea's access to missile technology, and an explicit indication to stop all future missile launches. Failure to do so, would move the ball into the UN camp, where the latter will draft a resolution that is approved by all 5 permanent UN Security members plus Japan.”

 

2. Yen attempts gains on BoJ prospects

”USDJPY edged higher above the 114 figure after Japan’s consumer confidence index hit a 6-month low of 47.2 in June from 49.8 in May. The falling stock market was the biggest contributor to the decline.”

 

These both articles have helped me decide 2 positions I had some questions about, and it looks good in the meantime. Using a trailing stop assures me that on these trade I wont lose. Viva la forex.

 
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